Phenology and disrupted synchrony

Ecosystems (Continuity and change) · Climate change · note 6 of 7

Spec D4.3.9, D4.3.10
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Phenology and disrupted synchronySpec D4.3.9, D4.3.10

In short

Phenology is research into the timing of biological events such as flowering, budburst, bird migration and nesting. Photoperiod and temperature patterns influence this timing. Climate change disrupts synchrony when one population uses temperature as its cue and another uses photoperiod, as with Arctic mouse-ear chickweed and migrating reindeer, or great tits and caterpillars.

Phenology is research into the timing of biological events. Examples include flowering, budburst and bud set in deciduous trees, bird migration and nesting.

Two variables commonly act as cues: photoperiod (day length), which is not affected by climate change, and temperature patterns, which are. Within an ecosystem, temperature may act as the cue in one population and photoperiod in another.

Disruption to synchrony

ExampleCuesEffect of warming
Arctic mouse-ear chickweed (Cerastium arcticum) and migrating reindeer (Rangifer tarandus) in GreenlandPlant growth is cued by temperature; reindeer migration to calving grounds is cued by photoperiodPlants grow earlier in warm springs, so peak food has passed when reindeer arrive and calve. Fewer calves survive.
Great tit (Parus major) and caterpillars in north European forestsCaterpillar emergence follows temperature and leaf budburst; great tit laying date changes lessPeak caterpillar biomass comes earlier, so chicks hatch after the peak and fewer survive.
Two graphs of abundance against date from spring to summer, showing caterpillar biomass as a curve and great tit chicks' food demand as a shaded bar: in the past the peaks overlap; after warming the caterpillar peak is earlier while chick demand has barely moved, leaving a mismatch. (opens full size in a new tab)
After warming, the caterpillar peak comes earlier but great tit chicks do not: a mismatch (illustrative).
Exam tip:

Name the cue for each species. The mismatch only arises because the two populations respond to different cues.

Written and checked against the IB Biology HL specification · Updated October 2026

Frequently asked questions

What are positive feedback loops in climate change?

Positive feedback loops are cycles in which warming causes changes that cause more warming. Examples are loss of reflective snow and ice, so more solar radiation is absorbed; thawing permafrost releasing CO₂ and methane; CO₂ released from the deep ocean; and more droughts and forest fires releasing carbon.

How does climate change affect coral reefs?

Climate change threatens coral reefs in two ways. Increased carbon dioxide causes ocean acidification, which suppresses calcification so corals build skeletons more slowly. Higher water temperatures cause coral bleaching, when corals expel their symbiotic algae and may die. Loss of corals causes collapse of the whole reef ecosystem.

Why are species moving to higher altitudes and towards the poles?

Species are moving because warming makes the warm edge of their range too hot, while cooler places further upslope or poleward become suitable. Tropical montane birds in New Guinea have shifted upslope, and some North American trees show contraction at their warm edge and northward spread.

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