Evidence linking cholesterol and CVD

Molecules, Transport and Health · Health risks, evidence and treatment · note 5 of 7

Evidence linking cholesterol and CVDSpec 1.18(ii)

In short

Several lines of evidence support a causal relationship between blood cholesterol (total and LDL) and cardiovascular disease. Population studies show higher rates of CVD where blood LDL is high, people with inherited very high cholesterol develop CVD early, LDL is found in plaques, and trials show that lowering LDL reduces heart attacks and strokes.

  • Correlation in large population studies: groups with higher total and LDL cholesterol have more cardiovascular disease.
  • Genetic evidence: people with inherited conditions that cause very high LDL cholesterol develop atherosclerosis and CVD at a young age.
  • Mechanism: LDL cholesterol is found in plaques; oxidised LDL is taken up by macrophages to form foam cells.
  • Intervention trials: lowering LDL cholesterol with statins and diet reduces the number of heart attacks and strokes.
  • Laboratory studies: animals fed high-cholesterol diets develop atherosclerosis.

Not every piece of evidence is consistent. Some people with normal cholesterol develop CVD and some people with high cholesterol do not, because CVD has many risk factors. Studies of drugs that raise HDL have not always shown reduced CVD. Overall the weight of evidence from several different kinds of study supports a causal role for high LDL.

Exam tip:

Strong answers use more than one type of evidence (population, genetic, mechanism, intervention) and mention that CVD is multifactorial, which is why correlation alone is not proof.

Written and checked against the Edexcel International A Level Biology (YBI11) specification · Updated October 2026

Frequently asked questions

What is the difference between correlation and causation?

A correlation is a relationship between two variables, such as smoking and heart disease. Causation means one variable directly produces the change in the other. A correlation does not prove causation, as a third (confounding) variable could be responsible, so extra evidence such as a mechanism is needed.

What is the difference between HDL and LDL cholesterol?

LDL carries cholesterol from the liver to the body tissues, and a high level raises the risk of atherosclerosis. HDL carries cholesterol from the tissues back to the liver, so a high HDL level is protective. A high LDL with a low HDL is the highest-risk combination.

How do you calculate BMI and waist-to-hip ratio?

BMI is body mass in kilograms divided by height in metres squared. Waist-to-hip ratio is waist circumference divided by hip circumference. Both indicate obesity, but BMI does not separate muscle from fat, while waist-to-hip ratio shows how much fat is stored around the abdomen.

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