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Calculating and analysing outcomes

Genetics · Inheritance · note 5 of 5

Calculating and analysing outcomesSpec 3.16

You need to calculate and analyse the outcomes of monohybrid crosses and pedigrees for dominant and recessive traits. Outcomes can be given as a ratio, a probability or a percentage.

Ways of giving the same outcome (Tt × Tt)
OutcomeBoxes out of 4ProbabilityPercentage
Short plant (tt)11/4 or 0.2525%
Tall plant (TT or Tt)33/4 or 0.7575%

As a ratio, this is 3 tall : 1 short. A 3 : 1 ratio means 1 in 4 offspring are short, not 1 in 3.

Probability for a recessive disorder

A disorder is caused by a recessive allele (f). Two parents do not have the disorder but both are carriers (Ff). What is the probability that their child has the disorder?

  1. Gametes from each parent: F or f.
  2. Possible offspring: FF, Ff, Ff and ff.
  3. Only ff has the disorder. That is 1 out of 4 equally likely outcomes.

Answer: Probability = 1/4 = 0.25 = 25%.

Each child is an independent event. If the first child has the disorder, the probability for the next child is still 1 in 4. Probabilities describe chance. They do not guarantee the actual numbers in a family.

Quick check

  1. What is an allele?

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    A different version of the same gene.

  2. What is the difference between genotype and phenotype?

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    Genotype is the alleles an organism has. Phenotype is the observable characteristic that is expressed.

  3. Which sex chromosomes do human females and males have?

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    Females XX, males XY.

  4. Two parents without a disorder have an affected child. Is the allele dominant or recessive?

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    Recessive, and both parents are carriers.

  5. What is codominance?

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    Both alleles are expressed in the phenotype when both are present, as with IA and IB giving blood group AB.

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